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October 5, 2017

Catalonia is Worse than Brexit…and More Contagious

Lessons from Brexit

The attempts by the Catalonia region to dissociate itself from Spain has many of the traits of Brexit: quest from “being master of one’s destiny” to “we will be better without Spain”. Like Brexit, those statements contain a set of absurdities. Brexit was voted based on misinformation brought by Boris Johnson and Nigel Farage. Ignorance or sheer manipulation does not change the fact that the populations have been misled. Brexit was based on what has proved to be wrong assumptions, sky rocketing costs and insane complexity. Read More

 

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September 24, 2017

Donald Trump n’est pas une farce, c’est un danger pour la paix mondiale

Il y a près de neuf mois que Donald Trump occupe le siège de Président des Etats Unis et continue à se comporter comme un pitbull enragé. Nous ne pouvons plus nous permettre de considérer ce reality show comme une forme de spectacle. Les enjeux ont augmenté dans les derniers mois et les derniers jours ont donné lieu à plusieurs déraillements qui ne peuvent plus amuser la galerie. Son opposition ce weekend aux sportifs protestant, genou en terre, contre le mauvais traitement des noirs, l’emmène dans une dérive raciste dont il risque de ne pas pouvoir se dépêtrer facilement et qu’il tente de nier. Même Stevie Wonder s’est agenouillé « pour l’Amérique ». A savoir plus

 

 

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August 8, 2017

Iran Does Not Need the United States

Last month, I attended a conference organized by the Central Bank of Iran on financial stability in Tehran. It was an eye-opener to see the quality and depth of the research and the importance that the Iranian leadership attached to the evolution of international regulation. It was also an opportunity to assess how the Iranian leadership was reacting to the recent aggressive talks of Donald Trump and his administration. Read More

 

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July 6, 2017

France Between Regicide and Monarchism: Understanding Emmanuel Macron

Next week, France will celebrate its Bastille Day: it was the take over of a French prison on July 14, 1789. On January 21, 1793, they beheaded their King and his wife. Since that barbarian regicide, France has constantly been oscillating between a fundamental monarchism that admires the “king” (even if he is the President of the Republic) and a profound desire to assassinate him.

France is a Monarchy

The paradox of this year’s Bastille Day, is that Emmanuel Macron invited Donald Trump to be his guest to celebrate the 100th anniversary of the entry of the United States in World War I by president Woodrow Wilson on April 2, 1917. US troops will take part of the military parade on that occasion. Needless to say, the discovery of a plot to assassinate Macron on July 14 is making it a high-risk ceremony. It will be a high risk ceremony. Read More

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June 22, 2017

The New Shape of Brexit: Let’s be Serious Now

The real negotiation is starting with a weak United Kingdom.

Unfortunately, the field for negotiation is mined with bombs that can detonate at any moment. First, Theresa May, in a perfectly conservative entitled move, has managed to weaken the UK position in the negotiation by launching a new consultation of the British people that boomeranged. Believing she is so much better than her predecessor, David Cameron, she fell into the same trap. Manipulating democracy is not rewarding at times of unpredictable populism. Read More

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May 31, 2017

There Is No Peace In The Middle East Without Iran

Donald Trump might have missed the most positive news from the Middle East last week. It was not his antagonistic declarations in Riyadh, Israel, Brussels and Italy.

It came from Iran: President Hassan Rouhani had managed the tour de force to be reelected against a conservative candidate and a few others, reaching 57% of the votes at the first round. Three-quarters of the Iranians voted, twenty percent more than in the US. It was a victory for those who believe that the time had come to open up Iran further to the rest of the world. Read More

 

 

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May 22, 2017

Open Letter to Donald Trump, the Golf Addict

Dear Donald,

Since your inauguration, you are in the bunker of the first hole.

Your three worldwide golf partners, Vladimir Putin, Xi Jinping and Angela Merkel are watching you. Vladimir is laughing as he did yesterday at his press conference: you gave him so many reasons to ridicule America. You thought he would be your friend: in fact, he gave a soft quick touch to your ball to make sure it would fall in the bunker. Xi is smiling, undecipherable, happy to see you weakened after your rodomontade on North Korea. As to Angela, you hate her and she sees you exactly as the player you are: a bully who hits ferociously the ball, does not wait for his turn, throws as much grass as the ball. You do not even have a sense of the basic etiquette: you did not shake her hand while you were holding Teresa May by the hand.

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May 11, 2017

Trump vient de créer les conditions de son impeachment

Nous y voilà.

Le barnum de la télévision dont la série-phare était « you are fired » « vous êtes viré », vient d’utiliser cette réaction impulsive contre le patron –par ailleurs très controversé- du FBI, James Comey. Il en a le droit si son Ministre de la Justice, Jeff Sessions, lui-même controversé et empêché d’exercer cette fonction dans son Etat, le lui demande. En savoir plus

 

 

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May 2, 2017

Quel(le) Président(e) pour la France ?

Que ce soit à New York, Londres, Berlin ou Bruxelles, tous les regards sont rivés sur la scène politique française. Londres se demande comment la négociation Brexit sera affectée.  Berlin se demande qui sera le ou la partenaire de l’axe Paris-Berlin, tout en  exprimant sa préférence pour Emmanuel Macron. Bruxelles sait que seul ce dernier est vraiment un partisan de l’Europe. Quant à New York, ce sont les réminiscences de l’holocauste qui choquent et nourrissent la préférence pour En Marche. Les Francais y ont voté a 52% pour lui. En savoir plus

 

 

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